Our weekend box office predictions for November 13-15 center on one question: can Johnny Depp actually open a movie again? “Ebenezer” is tracking to debut at No. 1, but two more new releases and a stubborn Godzilla holdover make this a more crowded weekend than it first looks. Everything below is a prediction based on trade tracking, not a confirmed result — final numbers won’t be in until Monday.
Weekend Box Office Predictions: New Releases
Ebenezer — Projected $20-25 Million Opening
Paramount’s “Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol,” starring Johnny Depp as Scrooge, opens in more than 3,500 theaters. Trade trackers have the opening weekend projection in the $20-25 million range, with some forecasts stretching as high as $27 million. A win here would be Depp’s first time opening a film at No. 1 since 2018’s “Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald.” Box Office Theory’s full weekend forecast has the complete breakdown of every tracker’s range for this frame. Our take: this is as close to a genuine referendum on Depp’s post-2022 box office drawing power as any release this year — a clean win matters more for the narrative around his comeback than the raw dollar figure itself.
How to Rob a Bank — Projected Mid-Single-Digit Opening
David Leitch’s heist film opens in roughly 2,700 theaters. It’s the weekend’s least-tracked new release in terms of public forecasts, which usually signals a studio isn’t expecting a breakout number, but Leitch’s action pedigree (“Bullet Train,” “Nobody”) gives it a plausible upside if reviews land well.
Ghost Soldier — Already in Theaters, Projected to Hold Modestly
Directed by William Eubank, “Ghost Soldier” actually opened Wednesday, November 11, ahead of the official weekend, in around 2,000 theaters — giving it a two-day head start most new releases don’t get. Our take: an early Wednesday launch is usually a sign a studio wants to capture pent-up demand before bigger competition arrives, rather than a confidence play for a wide box office win.
Weekend Box Office Predictions: Top 5 Holdovers
Here’s how trade trackers project this weekend’s returning titles, based on their trajectory so far:
- Godzilla Minus Zero — projected $12-17 million in its second weekend, likely still enough to stay in the top 3 even against Ebenezer’s opening.
- The Cat in the Hat — continuing its second weekend after a $20.5 million debut, expected to decline but remain a top-5 fixture.
- Drummer Boy — held unusually well into its second week after a stronger-than-expected $9.3 million opening.
- You Can See Everything — still adding modest numbers deep into its run, a genuinely unusual trajectory for a documentary this many weeks out.
- Clayface — continuing a slow decline in its later weekends, likely rounding out the bottom of the top 5.
What to Watch For
The real story of this weekend isn’t really the box office chart — it’s whether Depp’s “Ebenezer” actually wins it. A clean No. 1 finish near the top of its $20-25 million range would be read industry-wide as a genuine comeback signal; anything closer to the low end, especially if Godzilla Minus Zero holds firm, would complicate that narrative considerably. For everything confirmed about the film itself — cast, plot, and how early reviews have actually landed — see our full Ebenezer movie guide. For last weekend’s confirmed final numbers, check our box office roundup for November 6-10. We’ll publish the confirmed Monday actuals once studios report them.
Update: Thursday previews and Friday’s actuals are confirmed. See our Ebenezer box office tracker for the latest real numbers as they come in.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is projected to win the box office this weekend (November 13-15, 2026)?
“Ebenezer,” starring Johnny Depp, is projected to open at No. 1 with $20-25 million, though this is a prediction based on trade tracking, not a confirmed result.
What other movies are opening the same weekend as Ebenezer?
“How to Rob a Bank,” directed by David Leitch, opens wide the same weekend, while “Ghost Soldier” already opened two days early on Wednesday, November 11.
Will Godzilla Minus Zero stay at No. 1?
Trade trackers project Godzilla Minus Zero to decline to the $12-17 million range in its second weekend, likely not enough to beat Ebenezer’s projected opening, though this remains a prediction until actual numbers are confirmed.
